SignalFlow AI
DISCLAIMER: This note is intended for US recipients only and, in particular, is not directed at, nor intended to be relied upon by any UK recipients. Any information or analysis in this note is not an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any securities. Nothing in this note is intended to be investment advice and nor should it be relied upon to make investment decisions. Cestrian Capital Research, Inc., its employees, agents or affiliates, including the author of this note, or related persons, may have a position in any stocks, security, or financial instrument referenced in this note. Any opinions, analyses, or probabilities expressed in this note are those of the author as of the note's date of publication and are subject to change without notice. Companies referenced in this note or their employees or affiliates may be customers of Cestrian Capital Research, Inc. Cestrian Capital Research, Inc. values both its independence and transparency and does not believe that this presents a material potential conflict of interest or impacts the content of its research or publications.
Introduction - Real Simple AI.
by Alex King, CEO, Cestrian Capital Research, Inc
We are delighted to host SignalFlow AI, a very simple trade signal service developed by Jay Urbain, Ph.D. Jay has been running Jay’s Options on our platform for some time now - it’s a much-loved options trading service.
The basis of SignalFlow AI is very simple. What if you could use a machine to take the fear and emotion out of investing and trading? A machine that is tasked with pursuing upside, but which is unemotional about stepping aside when markets turn south? This is a task which human investors and traders should be able to do, but usually don't, because emotion - greed and/or fear - takes control of their trade execution, often in a manner at odds with perfectly sensible analysis that they just prepared.
SignalFlow AI uses machine learning and extensive backtesting to identify periods where the model believes capital should be deployed, and periods where the model believes capital should be on the sidelines. The model can be run on any major liquid security - of which more below - but right now we are launching with just a simple system; the service will flag “buy” and “sell” signals on $SPY. Yes, the S&P500 ETF, $SPY. Boring? Well, that's rather the point. If as a human one was capable of just moving to cash and doing nothing every time the S&P took a material nosedive, then simply buying and selling the S&P would be a wonderful investment strategy.
With the obvious rider that future results may be different to the past, here's the 10 year backtested result of using a strategy based on the SignalFlow AI model to decide when to buy, when to hold, and when to sell $SPY, vs. simple buy-and-hold.
If you look at the chart you can see the outputs of the model very clearly. When the market weakens, sell and move to cash. When the market strengthens, redeploy that cash. Rinse and repeat.
I want to invite you to join the service right away based solely on that potential. Below, Jay walks you through more detail about where the service will go in the future, and he talks about other instruments. You can imagine that you can use the signal outputs in various settings - either follow the signals to the letter, or, if you prefer, when the signals say get out of the market, hedge, then release the hedge when it says get back in. Each to their own, according to risk appetite, emotional setup, tax status and so forth.
Choose Your Service Tier
We offer this service with two pricing tiers.
If you’re an investment professional - as defined in our terms and conditions, here, then choose “SignalFlowAI Pro Edition”. The terms of this subscription enable you to share the model outputs with anyone in your own firm. You’ll pay $2499/yr or $299/mo for this.
If you’re not an investment professional under our terms and conditions, choose “SignalAI - Independent Investor”. This single-user subscription is for use only by independent investors - it is not available to investment professionals per our terms and conditions. Independent investors pay just $1499/yr or $149/mo.
Deep Dive
I want to turn this over to Jay himself now. Here's his most recent presentation on the SignalFlow AI service.
A Constantly Evolving, Growing Service
As with all our pay services, SignalFlow AI will expand in breadth and depth as time goes by. It will cover more tickers and different strategies. Join now to lock in your launch pricing - prices for the service will rise for new joiners as the service evolves over time.
Cestrian Capital Research, Inc - 1 November 2024.